Why the British Pound will face many challenges
Pressure will continue to mount on the British Pound as the country's economy approaches the third quarter. The current climate give an indication that the upcoming general election will likely bring about volatility, a move that weaken the sterling. Going by the current polls being conducted within the country, there is clear evidence that the Labour Party will win in the upcoming election trhough a landslide. Further analysis imprints a picture where a ruling party doest not openly share how their spending plan will be. Because of these two factors, a large number of investors are more likely to stay away from Sterling pound, the assets associated with it until such a time when economic balance is achieved.
Source: Yahoo Finance
Amidst this trend, the UK Inflation faced an economic milestone nearly 2 months ago (in May). This is apparent owing to the return to the target rate of BoE. This is a significant achievement in three years considering that the the inflation rates have reduced by a significant rate of 2%. For the Britons, this marks a remarkable turning point from pressures of having to purchase items at elevated prices. Among key indications of a fallen inflation rates include ex-food and energy where the rates fell 4 points to 3.5% from 3.9% and the cost of services fell by 2 points to 5.7% from 5.9%.
Within a last few months, the Bank of England has been confidence regarding how the inflation rate will have hit its target before the end of the second quarter. Despite this, the bank has continued to send out warnings regarding the potential increase in the CPI inflation. This was guided by a significant decline in the prices of energy beyond the averages when compared to the previous seasons. However, the BoE has continued to use existing data to make predictions and efforts are currently being made to detect any patterns indicative of increasing inflation. Specific areas of interest are services. Upon this confirmation, the BoE is likely introduce cuts in interest rades.
It is clear that the interest rates in the UK assume a downward facing trend, at least for the past few months. Based on the most recent reports, a reduction in basis points is indicative of a factor impacting the pperfomance of the sterling pound in the third quarter. For example, the BoE has made porjections about a high likelihood of an easing cycle with 4% being the anticipated Bank lending rate by the end of the year 2025.